Football · Argentina Nacional B · 04/07, 20:30
Almirante Brown vs Los Andes
Expected goals: 1.2 (Almirante Brown 0.63 · Los Andes 0.57). The model gives 32% home, 39% draw, 29% away. Under 1.5 goals (56%) and not both to score (60%). Most likely score: 0-0.
32%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Almirante Brown 1530 · Los Andes 1538
| Almirante Brown | Draw | Los Andes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 44% | 26% |
| Market | 34% | 35% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.2 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.2Almirante Brown 0.63 · Los Andes 0.57
Over / Under 1.5Under 1.5 · 56%
BTTSNo · 60%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 88%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Almirante Brown: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almirante Brown | Los Andes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 2.4 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 6.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almirante Brown 2–1–0 Los Andes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Los Andes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 14/03/20 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Los Andes | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Almirante Brown |
| 28/09/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Almirante Brown | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Los Andes |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 34 |
| 2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Colon | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 26 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 25 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 24 |
| 11 | CA San Telmo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 20 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 13 | Racing de Cordoba | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 14 | All Boys | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 19 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 18 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 18 |
| 17 | Club Atletico Mitre | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 17 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almirante Brown | Los Andes |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Mitre | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Godoy Cruz | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Moron | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Colon | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CA San Miguel | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| CA San Telmo | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Andes (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almirante Brown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Los Andes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 13 | L |
| 14/06 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 16/05 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 02/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |