Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 05/07, 20:00

San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Liniers

Expected goals: 1.31 (San Martin De Burzaco 0.73 · Deportivo Liniers 0.59). The model gives 36% home, 37% draw, 27% away. Under 1.5 goals (54%) and not both to score (59%). Most likely score: 0-0.

36%1

36% 37% 27%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Martin De Burzaco 1513 · Deportivo Liniers 1469

	San Martin De Burzaco	Draw	Deportivo Liniers
Our model	33%	42%	25%
Market	38%	33%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 1.31 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals1.31San Martin De Burzaco 0.73 · Deportivo Liniers 0.59

Over / Under 1.5Under 1.5 · 54%

BTTSNo · 59%

Most likely total1 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 87%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin De Burzaco (rating 1513 vs 1469).
H2H favours Deportivo Liniers: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Martin De Burzaco	Deportivo Liniers
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	2.7 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.40

X2.70

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.08

2 (+0.25)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 1.51.82

Under 1.51.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 1.5

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 2.40 → 2.40 – 0%

X 2.70 → 2.70 – 0%

2 3.10 → 3.10 – 0%

Over/Under 1.5

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Both teams to score

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin De Burzaco 0–2–4 Deportivo Liniers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	0-0 HT 0-0	San Martin De Burzaco
20/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Liniers
02/03/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	5-0 HT 2-0	San Martin De Burzaco
02/11/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Liniers
15/06/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	1-0 HT 0-0	San Martin De Burzaco
12/06/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	1-0 HT 1-0	San Martin De Burzaco

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	22	13	6	3	33	12	45
2	Talleres Remedios	22	12	6	4	23	10	42
3	Arsenal de Sarandi	21	11	7	3	31	16	40
4	Villa Dalmine	22	11	7	4	26	12	40
5	Atletico Camioneros	22	10	8	4	23	15	38
6	Sportivo Italiano	22	9	7	6	22	19	34
7	Real Pilar	22	9	6	7	24	23	33
8	Club Comunicaciones	21	8	7	6	23	20	31
9	Deportivo Armenio	22	9	4	9	25	27	31
10	Deportivo Merlo	22	8	7	7	26	33	31
11	San Martin De Burzaco	22	7	9	6	22	19	30
12	Deportivo Laferrere	22	7	7	8	23	28	28
13	Argentino Quilmes	22	6	9	7	24	22	27
14	Argentino Merlo	21	7	6	8	17	18	27
15	Deportivo Liniers	22	6	7	9	15	22	25
16	CS Dock Sud	21	5	8	8	21	21	23
17	Defensores Unidos	22	5	8	9	18	23	23
18	UAI Urquiza	22	3	13	6	12	16	22
19	CSD Flandria	22	6	4	12	17	28	22
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	22	5	7	10	16	27	22
21	Villa San Carlos	22	3	9	10	21	29	18
22	CA Ituzaingo	22	1	6	15	16	38	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Martin De Burzaco	Deportivo Liniers
Real Pilar	0-0 D	0-1 L
UAI Urquiza	0-0 D	1-2 L
Villa Dalmine	0-2 L	1-0 W
Excursionistas	0-2 L	1-4 L
Arsenal de Sarandi	2-0 W	0-0 D
Argentino Merlo	1-0 W	1-0 W
Talleres Remedios	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: San Martin De Burzaco (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Martin De Burzaco

DWLWWWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
20/06	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
13/06	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
06/06	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
01/06	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
27/05	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
23/05	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
16/05	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
09/05	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	3	5	W
02/05	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	6	D

Deportivo Liniers

LWDLDWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
20/06	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	9	3	D
14/06	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
08/06	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	8	4	L
31/05	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
27/05	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
23/05	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-4	5	6	L
16/05	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
09/05	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
03/05	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	12	L