Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 05/07, 18:00
Argentino Quilmes vs Talleres Remedios
Expected goals: 1.59 (Argentino Quilmes 0.76 · Talleres Remedios 0.84). The model gives 30% home, 35% draw, 35% away. Over 1.5 goals (50%) and not both to score (56%). Most likely score: 0-0.
35%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Argentino Quilmes 1521 · Talleres Remedios 1584
| Argentino Quilmes | Draw | Talleres Remedios | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 38% | 33% |
| Market | 31% | 33% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.59 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.59Argentino Quilmes 0.76 · Talleres Remedios 0.84
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 50%
BTTSNo · 56%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 86%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Talleres Remedios (rating 1521 vs 1584).
- H2H favours Talleres Remedios: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Argentino Quilmes | Talleres Remedios | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.4 | 6.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino Quilmes 0–3–3 Talleres Remedios
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Talleres Remedios | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 19/06/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Talleres Remedios | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 20/02/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Talleres Remedios |
| 12/06/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Talleres Remedios |
| 13/02/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Talleres Remedios | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 13/09/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Talleres Remedios |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 12 | 45 |
| 2 | Talleres Remedios | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 10 | 42 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 40 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 38 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 34 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 33 |
| 8 | Club Comunicaciones | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 31 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 31 |
| 10 | Deportivo Merlo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 33 | 31 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 30 |
| 12 | Deportivo Laferrere | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 28 |
| 13 | Argentino Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 27 |
| 14 | Argentino Merlo | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 18 | 27 |
| 15 | Deportivo Liniers | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 25 |
| 16 | CS Dock Sud | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 23 | 23 |
| 18 | UAI Urquiza | 22 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 22 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 22 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 29 | 18 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 38 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Argentino Quilmes | Talleres Remedios |
|---|---|---|
| CA Brown de Adrogue | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Defensores Unidos | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Club Comunicaciones | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| CS Dock Sud | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Merlo | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Talleres Remedios (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Argentino Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 11 | W |
| 27/05 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
Talleres Remedios
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 06/06 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 12 | W |