Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 04/07, 20:00
CSD Flandria vs Deportivo Laferrere
33%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSD Flandria 1452 · Deportivo Laferrere 1522
| CSD Flandria | Draw | Deportivo Laferrere | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 35% | 32% |
| Market | 34% | 32% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.84 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.84CSD Flandria 0.92 · Deportivo Laferrere 0.92
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 55%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Laferrere (rating 1452 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Deportivo Laferrere: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSD Flandria | Deportivo Laferrere | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 5.7 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Flandria 1–2–2 Deportivo Laferrere
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Laferrere | 3-2 HT 3-1 | CSD Flandria |
| 08/09/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Laferrere |
| 19/04/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Laferrere | 3-0 HT 3-0 | CSD Flandria |
| 11/08/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Laferrere |
| 27/03/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Laferrere | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CSD Flandria |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 12 | 45 |
| 2 | Talleres Remedios | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 10 | 42 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 40 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 38 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 34 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 33 |
| 8 | Club Comunicaciones | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 31 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 31 |
| 10 | Deportivo Merlo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 33 | 31 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 30 |
| 12 | Deportivo Laferrere | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 28 |
| 13 | Argentino Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 27 |
| 14 | Argentino Merlo | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 18 | 27 |
| 15 | Deportivo Liniers | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 25 |
| 16 | CS Dock Sud | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 23 | 23 |
| 18 | UAI Urquiza | 22 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 22 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 22 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 29 | 18 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 38 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSD Flandria | Deportivo Laferrere |
|---|---|---|
| CA Ituzaingo | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Argentino Quilmes | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Defensores Unidos | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Club Comunicaciones | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| CS Dock Sud | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Merlo | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Atletico Camioneros | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Laferrere (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSD Flandria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/05 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
Deportivo Laferrere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/06 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/05 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |