⚽ Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 27/06, 20:00
Talleres Remedios vs Defensores Unidos
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Talleres Remedios 1557 · Defensores Unidos 1488
| Talleres Remedios | Draw | Defensores Unidos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 32% | 12% |
| Market | 58% | 28% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.7 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.7Talleres Remedios 1.26 · Defensores Unidos 0.44
BTTSNo · 74%
Most likely total1 goals
💎 ValueUnder 2 goals · +6.3%The model gives this bet 6.3% more probability than its odds (1.80) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Talleres Remedios (rating 1557 vs 1488).
- Low estimate: 1.7 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours Defensores Unidos: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Talleres Remedios | Defensores Unidos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.3 | 6.3 / 0.7 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Talleres Remedios 1–2–3 Defensores Unidos
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Defensores Unidos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Talleres Remedios |
| 30/08/25 Argentina Nacional B | Talleres Remedios | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Defensores Unidos |
| 26/04/25 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores Unidos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Talleres Remedios |
| 03/09/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Defensores Unidos | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Talleres Remedios |
| 08/05/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Talleres Remedios | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Defensores Unidos |
| 11/10/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Defensores Unidos | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Talleres Remedios |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Talleres Remedios
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 06/06 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 12 | W |
| 26/04 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
Defensores Unidos
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 27/05 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 12 | L |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |