Football · Argentina Nacional B · 04/07, 20:30
Nueva Chicago vs CA Guemes
48%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nueva Chicago 1473 · CA Guemes 1447
| Nueva Chicago | Draw | CA Guemes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 32% | 20% |
| Market | 48% | 31% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.95 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.95Nueva Chicago 1.23 · CA Guemes 0.72
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 56%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.95 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours CA Guemes: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nueva Chicago | CA Guemes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 1.7 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nueva Chicago 1–0–3 CA Guemes
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Nueva Chicago |
| 16/09/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nueva Chicago |
| 06/05/23 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 1-2 HT 1-1 | CA Guemes |
| 28/06/22 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CA Guemes |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nueva Chicago
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 14/04 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 10 | D |
CA Guemes
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |