Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 04/07, 14:00
FC Lahti vs IF Gnistan
35%1
Model analysis
Expected goals2.42FC Lahti 1.21 · IF Gnistan 1.21
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 54%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IF Gnistan (rating 1491 vs 1546).
- H2H favours IF Gnistan: 2-3-1.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Lahti | IF Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Lahti 1–3–2 IF Gnistan
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Lahti |
| 22/02/26 Finland Liigacup | IF Gnistan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Lahti |
| 05/10/24 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FC Lahti |
| 19/06/24 Finland Veikkausliiga | FC Lahti | 3-3 HT 1-2 | IF Gnistan |
| 02/06/24 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC Lahti |
| 17/02/24 Finland Liigacup | IF Gnistan | 1-2 HT 1-2 | FC Lahti |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Lahti
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | FC Ilves Finland Cup |
2-4 | 2-5 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | MP Finland Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
IF Gnistan
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 23/06 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |