Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 04/07, 16:00
FF Jaro vs FC Ilves
Expected goals: 3.5 (FF Jaro 1.51 · FC Ilves 1.99). The model gives 28% home, 23% draw, 48% away. Over 2.75 goals (59%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
48%2
Model analysis
Expected goals3.5FF Jaro 1.51 · FC Ilves 1.99
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 59%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Ilves (rating 1409 vs 1537).
- H2H favours FC Ilves: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FF Jaro | FC Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 3.1 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FF Jaro 0–0–6 FC Ilves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | FC Ilves | 5-0 HT 4-0 | FF Jaro |
| 31/01/26 Finland Liigacup | FC Ilves | 4-2 HT 3-1 | FF Jaro |
| 20/07/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | FF Jaro | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Ilves |
| 12/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | FC Ilves | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FF Jaro |
| 22/02/25 Finland Liigacup | FC Ilves | 4-0 HT 0-0 | FF Jaro |
| 16/08/15 Finland Veikkausliiga | FC Ilves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FF Jaro |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS Kuopio | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | FC Inter | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 26 |
| 4 | HJK Helsinki | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 22 |
| 5 | VPS Vaasa | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 7 | TPS | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Ilves | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 27 | 16 |
| 9 | FC Lahti | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
| 10 | SJK | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 8 |
| 12 | IFK Mariehamn | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FF Jaro | FC Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| TPS | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| IF Gnistan | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| HJK Helsinki | 2-5 L | 2-2 D |
| KuPS Kuopio | 0-3 L | 3-4 L |
| FC Inter | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Ilves (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FF Jaro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 23/06 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-4 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | VJS Vantaa Finland Cup |
0-2 | 3-5 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
FC Ilves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/06 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
4-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | FC Lahti Finland Cup |
4-2 | 5-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 30/05 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | TPS Finland Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 20/05 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |