Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 04/07, 17:00
VPS Vaasa vs IFK Mariehamn
70%1
Model analysis
Expected goals2.74VPS Vaasa 2.09 · IFK Mariehamn 0.66
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 50%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VPS Vaasa (rating 1571 vs 1412).
- H2H favours VPS Vaasa: 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 1.5 combined avg at HT (1.3 + 0.2) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| VPS Vaasa | IFK Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · VPS Vaasa 3–2–1 IFK Mariehamn
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | IFK Mariehamn | 0-1 HT 0-1 | VPS Vaasa |
| 21/09/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | IFK Mariehamn | 2-1 HT 1-1 | VPS Vaasa |
| 01/08/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | VPS Vaasa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | IFK Mariehamn |
| 14/06/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | IFK Mariehamn | 1-5 HT 0-1 | VPS Vaasa |
| 28/07/24 Finland Veikkausliiga | VPS Vaasa | 2-1 HT 1-0 | IFK Mariehamn |
| 12/06/24 Finland Veikkausliiga | IFK Mariehamn | 0-0 HT 0-0 | VPS Vaasa |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
VPS Vaasa
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/06 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
3-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 10/06 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Cup |
0-0 | 5-4 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 26/05 | FC Haka Finland Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | AIFK Finland Cup |
6-0 | 7-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
IFK Mariehamn
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | FC Lahti Finland Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Puiu Finland Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |