⚽ Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 27/06, 16:00
HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HJK Helsinki 1574 · KuPS Kuopio 1582
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS Kuopio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.5HJK Helsinki 1.41 · KuPS Kuopio 1.09
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 50%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Estimate (4.2) is far from Bet365's line (2.5): possible value on Over 2.5.
- High estimate: 4.2 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours KuPS Kuopio: 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 2.6 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 14.5 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HJK Helsinki | KuPS Kuopio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.8 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7.8 | 4.1 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · HJK Helsinki 1–2–3 KuPS Kuopio
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 1-1 HT 1-0 | HJK Helsinki |
| 09/11/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | HJK Helsinki | 0-2 HT 0-1 | KuPS Kuopio |
| 19/10/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 3-1 HT 1-0 | HJK Helsinki |
| 20/09/25 Finland Cup | HJK Helsinki | 1-0 HT 0-0 | KuPS Kuopio |
| 27/06/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 3-0 HT 2-0 | HJK Helsinki |
| 31/05/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | HJK Helsinki | 0-0 HT 0-0 | KuPS Kuopio |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
HJK Helsinki
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/06 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 5-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/06 | FC Honka Finland Cup |
4-1 | 7-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 26/05 | MyPa Finland Cup |
6-0 | 11-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | RoPS Finland Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
KuPS Kuopio
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
4-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 10/06 | VPS Vaasa Finland Cup |
0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/05 | JaPS Finland Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 12/05 | PK-35 Finland Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |