Football · Norway Division 1 · 02/07, 18:00

Lyn 1896 vs Asane

Expected goals: 2.59 (Lyn 1896 1.55 · Asane 1.04). The model gives 49% home, 26% draw, 25% away. Under 3 goals (56%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.

49%1

49% 26% 25%

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lyn 1896 1440 · Asane 1481

	Lyn 1896	Draw	Asane
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	50%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis

Expected goals2.59Lyn 1896 1.55 · Asane 1.04

Over / Under 3Under 3 · 56%

BTTSYes · 53%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asane (rating 1440 vs 1481).
H2H favours Lyn 1896: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lyn 1896	Asane
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.2	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.2	1 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.70

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

How Bet365's odds have moved from when the line opened until now. It's market data, not a recommendation.

1X2

1 1.83 → 1.83 – 0%

X 3.70 → 3.70 – 0%

2 3.50 → 3.50 – 0%

Over/Under 3

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Both teams to score

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lyn 1896 3–1–2 Asane

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/08/25 Norway Division 1	Asane	0-2 HT 0-0	Lyn 1896
29/06/25 Norway Division 1	Lyn 1896	2-1 HT 1-0	Asane
02/11/24 Norway Division 1	Asane	3-2 HT 2-1	Lyn 1896
20/07/24 Norway Division 1	Lyn 1896	3-1 HT 2-1	Asane
27/09/14 Norway Division 2 Group 3	Lyn 1896	2-2 HT 2-0	Asane
14/06/14 Norway Division 2 Group 3	Asane	2-0 HT 2-0	Lyn 1896

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stromsgodset	13	8	4	1	38	18	28
2	Haugesund	13	9	1	3	40	25	28
3	Kongsvinger	13	8	3	2	31	20	27
4	Stabaek	13	7	3	3	27	14	24
5	Odd BK	13	7	3	3	26	16	24
6	Ranheim	13	6	2	5	32	29	20
7	Sandnes Ulf	13	6	1	6	21	19	19
8	Hodd	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
9	Moss	13	5	2	6	23	29	17
10	Egersund	13	5	1	7	21	25	16
11	Bryne	13	5	1	7	18	22	16
12	Sogndal	13	4	3	6	24	31	15
13	Asane	13	4	1	8	18	24	12
14	Strommen	13	3	2	8	18	35	11
15	Raufoss	13	3	1	9	16	31	10
16	Lyn 1896	13	3	1	9	11	28	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lyn 1896	Asane
Hodd	1-4 L	0-1 L
Ranheim	2-3 L	3-0 W
Bryne	0-3 L	0-1 L
Odd BK	0-3 L	2-1 W
Kongsvinger	0-3 L	1-3 L
Raufoss	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Asane (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lyn 1896

LLWLDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Hodd Norway Division 1	1-2	1-4	8	5	L
19/06	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-1	2-3	5	1	L
14/06	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	0-3	7	4	L
30/05	Odd BK Norway Division 1	0-1	0-3	8	2	L
25/05	Strommen Norway Division 1	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
20/05	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
16/05	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
10/05	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
01/05	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-3	0-4	10	4	L
26/04	Moss Norway Division 1	0-0	1-2	5	1	L

Asane

LLLDWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Ranheim Norway Division 1	0-0	3-0	3	1	W
21/06	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
14/06	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
31/05	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	1-0	1-3	1	2	L
25/05	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-0	3-0	5	1	W
20/05	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	1-0	2-0	1	8	W
16/05	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
10/05	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	0-3	7	3	L
01/05	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
25/04	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	3	5	L