Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 28/06, 14:00
Kolbotn Women vs Grei (W)
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kolbotn Women 1463 · Grei (W) 1423
| Kolbotn Women | Draw | Grei (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 22% | 25% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.72Kolbotn Women 2.23 · Grei (W) 1.49
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kolbotn Women (rating 1463 vs 1423).
- High estimate: 3.72 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Kolbotn Women: 5-0-0.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kolbotn Women | Grei (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 1.4 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 1.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolbotn Women 5–0–0 Grei (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/25 Norway Cup Women | Grei (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Kolbotn Women |
| 01/07/23 Norway Division 1 Women | Kolbotn Women | 2-0 | Grei (W) |
| 06/05/23 Norway Division 1 Women | Grei (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Kolbotn Women |
| 18/05/22 Norway Cup Women | Grei (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Kolbotn Women |
| 30/05/18 Norway Cup Women | Grei (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kolbotn Women |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kolbotn Women
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 25/05 | Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/05 | IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/04 | Sarpsborg 08 (W) Norway Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Grei (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 21/05 | Lyn (W) Norway Cup Women |
0-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/05 | Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
2-3 | 4-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |