Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 28/06, 14:00
Klepp (W) vs TIL 2020 Women
70%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Klepp (W) 1418 · TIL 2020 Women 1531
| Klepp (W) | Draw | TIL 2020 Women | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| Market | 13% | 17% | 70% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.89Klepp (W) 1.15 · TIL 2020 Women 2.74
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TIL 2020 Women (rating 1418 vs 1531).
- High estimate: 3.89 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours TIL 2020 Women: 2-2-0.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.4 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Klepp (W) | TIL 2020 Women | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 2.3 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/10/80% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.7 | 2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 5 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Klepp (W) 0–2–2 TIL 2020 Women
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/23 Norway Division 1 Women | TIL 2020 Women | 1-1 | Klepp (W) |
| 23/04/23 Norway Division 1 Women | Klepp (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | TIL 2020 Women |
| 14/08/22 Norway Division 1 Women | Klepp (W) | 0-1 | TIL 2020 Women |
| 03/04/22 Norway Division 1 Women | TIL 2020 Women | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Klepp (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Klepp (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-4 | 1-9 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
3-2 | 5-4 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/04 | Fana Women Norway Cup Women |
0-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-3 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
TIL 2020 Women
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
3-0 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 29/03 | Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 21/03 | Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |