⚽ Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 25/06, 18:00
Pitea IF (W) vs Hammarby (W)
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pitea IF (W) 1463 · Hammarby (W) 1614
| Pitea IF (W) | Draw | Hammarby (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| Market | 14% | 20% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
PickHammarby (W) · 60%
Expected goals2.87Pitea IF (W) 1.11 · Hammarby (W) 1.75
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 56%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (W) (rating 1463 vs 1614).
- H2H favours Hammarby (W): 5-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.7 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pitea IF (W) | Hammarby (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7 | 2.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Pitea IF (W) 0–1–5 Hammarby (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Pitea IF (W) | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Hammarby (W) |
| 17/05/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Hammarby (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Pitea IF (W) |
| 16/03/25 Sweden Cup Women | Hammarby (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Pitea IF (W) |
| 09/11/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Hammarby (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Pitea IF (W) |
| 13/05/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Pitea IF (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hammarby (W) |
| 07/07/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Hammarby (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Pitea IF (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Pitea IF (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 29/03 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
Hammarby (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 20/05 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
3-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | BK Hacken (W) UEFA Women's Europa Cup |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |