Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 27/06, 20:35
Athlone Town (W) vs Shelbourne (W)
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Athlone Town (W) 1604 · Shelbourne (W) 1568
| Athlone Town (W) | Draw | Shelbourne (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.84Athlone Town (W) 1.56 · Shelbourne (W) 1.28
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Athlone Town (W): 4-0-2.
- Early goals: 1.5 combined avg at HT (0.4 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Athlone Town (W) | Shelbourne (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 2.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 3.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Athlone Town (W) 4–0–2 Shelbourne (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Republic of Ireland Presidents Cup Women | Athlone Town (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shelbourne (W) |
| 27/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shelbourne (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Athlone Town (W) |
| 23/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Athlone Town (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Shelbourne (W) |
| 01/03/25 Republic of Ireland Presidents Cup Women | Shelbourne (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Athlone Town (W) |
| 20/10/24 Republic of Ireland League Cup Women | Athlone Town (W) | 1-6 HT 1-6 | Shelbourne (W) |
| 17/08/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shelbourne (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Athlone Town (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Athlone Town (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-2 | 4-2 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Wexford Youths (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/03 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland Presidents Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Shelbourne (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Cliftonville (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Glentoran (W) Women’s Friendly |
3-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |