Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 27/06, 20:35
FC Treaty United (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)
48%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Treaty United (W) 1516 · Sligo Rovers (W) 1500
| FC Treaty United (W) | Draw | Sligo Rovers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 48% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.73FC Treaty United (W) 1.6 · Sligo Rovers (W) 1.12
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Treaty United (W): 3-3-0.
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 1.2) → Over 0.5 HT.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Treaty United (W) | Sligo Rovers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Treaty United (W) 3–3–0 Sligo Rovers (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Sligo Rovers (W) | 2-2 HT 0-0 | FC Treaty United (W) |
| 12/04/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | FC Treaty United (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sligo Rovers (W) |
| 18/08/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Sligo Rovers (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Treaty United (W) |
| 13/04/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | FC Treaty United (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sligo Rovers (W) |
| 03/06/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women | FC Treaty United (W) | 3-3 HT 3-1 | Sligo Rovers (W) |
| 25/03/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Sligo Rovers (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Treaty United (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Treaty United (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Wexford Youths (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | L |
Sligo Rovers (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Linfield (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Wexford Youths (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 3 | L |