Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 04/07, 20:30
Longford Town vs UCD
37%2
Model analysis
Expected goals2.62Longford Town 1.29 · UCD 1.34
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UCD (rating 1479 vs 1542).
- H2H favours UCD: 4-2-0.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Longford Town | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Longford Town 0–2–4 UCD
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Longford Town |
| 07/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UCD |
| 12/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Longford Town |
| 28/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 0-2 HT 0-0 | UCD |
| 09/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Longford Town |
| 12/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 0-1 HT 0-0 | UCD |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Longford Town
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 19/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
UCD
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 08/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |