Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 03/07, 20:45
Derry City vs Waterford FC
55%1
Model analysis
Expected goals3.52Derry City 2.16 · Waterford FC 1.37
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 59%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Derry City (rating 1522 vs 1459).
- High estimate: 3.52 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Derry City: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.4 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Derry City | Waterford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.7 | 2.5 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Derry City 3–1–2 Waterford FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Derry City |
| 27/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Derry City | 4-2 HT 0-1 | Waterford FC |
| 17/10/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Derry City |
| 04/07/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Derry City | 7-2 HT 4-0 | Waterford FC |
| 25/04/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Derry City |
| 28/02/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Derry City | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Waterford FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Derry City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/06 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 19/06 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 22/05 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | D |
| 15/05 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
Waterford FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 22/05 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 15/05 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 04/05 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |