Basketball · Uganda Div 1 · 28/06, 16:00
Miracle Eagles vs Nkumba Marines
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miracle Eagles 1449 · Nkumba Marines 1551
| Miracle Eagles | Nkumba Marines | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
136.8 points · Bet365 line 120.5 · +16.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Model analysis
Estimated points136.8Miracle Eagles 63.8 · Nkumba Marines 73
Match keys
- Estimate (136.8) far from line (120.5): possible value on Over 120.5.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nkumba Marines (rating 1449 vs 1551).
- H2H favours Nkumba Marines: 4-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Miracle Eagles | Nkumba Marines | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 54.9 / 62.9 | 65.5 / 57.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 51.8 / 66 | 71.6 / 58 |
| Est. result | 64 | 73 |
Est. total136.8
Line O/U120.5
Diff.16.3
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miracle Eagles 0–0–4 Nkumba Marines
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/25 Uganda Div 1 | Miracle Eagles | 60-83 | Nkumba Marines |
| 10/11/24 Uganda Div 1 | Nkumba Marines | 71-60 | Miracle Eagles |
| 19/11/22 Uganda Div 1 | Nkumba Marines | 72-55 | Miracle Eagles |
| 15/05/22 Uganda Div 1 | Miracle Eagles | 58-59 | Nkumba Marines |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miracle Eagles
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Power Basketball Club Uganda Div 1 |
51-47 | W |
| 13/06 | Watoto Uganda Div 1 |
45-55 | L |
| 19/04 | Tropical Royals Uganda Div 1 |
56-66 | L |
| 06/04 | Ihoops BC Uganda Div 1 |
47-79 | L |
| 07/09 | Nkumba Marines Uganda Div 1 |
60-83 | L |
| 06/09 | Entebbe Knight Riders Uganda Div 1 |
69-64 | W |
| 30/08 | Diamonds in the Sun Uganda Div 1 |
56-69 | L |
| 24/08 | YMCA Hamstars Uganda Div 1 |
54-48 | W |
| 03/08 | UPDF Tomahawks Uganda Div 1 |
60-57 | W |
| 02/08 | UMU Flames Uganda Div 1 |
51-61 | L |
Nkumba Marines
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | KIU Titans Uganda Div 1 |
73-55 | W |
| 17/05 | Entebbe Knight Riders Uganda Div 1 |
69-53 | W |
| 19/04 | YMCA Hamstars Uganda Div 1 |
72-63 | W |
| 07/09 | Miracle Eagles Uganda Div 1 |
83-60 | W |
| 06/09 | Tropical Royals Uganda Div 1 |
61-59 | W |
| 30/08 | Ndejje Angels Uganda Div 1 |
76-46 | W |
| 17/08 | Power Basketball Club Uganda Div 1 |
60-63 | L |
| 16/08 | UPDF Tomahawks Uganda Div 1 |
48-62 | L |
| 10/08 | UMU Flames Uganda Div 1 |
53-63 | L |
| 02/08 | Entebbe Knight Riders Uganda Div 1 |
60-48 | W |