Basketball · Kenya Premier League · 28/06, 18:00
Umoja vs Stanbic Shields
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Umoja 1499 · Stanbic Shields 1449
| Umoja | Stanbic Shields | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
144.6 points · Bet365 line 137.5 · +7.1
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Model analysis
Estimated points144.6Umoja 74.4 · Stanbic Shields 70.2
Match keys
- Estimate (144.6) far from line (137.5): possible value on Over 137.5.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Umoja (rating 1499 vs 1449).
- H2H favours Umoja: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Umoja | Stanbic Shields | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 70.7 / 67.9 | 64.9 / 72.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 69.4 / 73 | 68.8 / 70 |
| Est. result | 74 | 70 |
Est. total144.6
Line O/U137.5
Diff.7.1
Head-to-head (H2H) · Umoja 2–0–0 Stanbic Shields
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/25 Kenya Premier League | Umoja | 64-45 | Stanbic Shields |
| 15/11/24 Kenya Premier League | Stanbic Shields | 61-67 | Umoja |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Umoja
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
78-82 | L |
| 14/06 | KPA Kenya Premier League |
60-70 | L |
| 30/04 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
66-78 | L |
| 26/04 | Terror Kenya Premier League |
70-64 | W |
| 05/04 | ANU Wolfpacks Kenya Premier League |
73-71 | W |
| 29/03 | Lakeside Kenya Premier League |
75-63 | W |
| 20/03 | Equity Bank Kenya Premier League |
85-100 | L |
| 15/03 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
77-58 | W |
| 07/03 | Blades Kenya Premier League |
49-41 | W |
| 01/03 | Eldonets Kenya Premier League |
74-52 | W |
Stanbic Shields
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
64-84 | L |
| 23/05 | ANU Wolfpacks Kenya Premier League |
81-57 | W |
| 25/04 | Ulinzi Kenya Premier League |
54-67 | L |
| 15/03 | KPA Kenya Premier League |
65-73 | L |
| 08/03 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
80-69 | W |
| 01/03 | Equity Bank Kenya Premier League |
74-63 | W |
| 27/02 | Blades Kenya Premier League |
59-66 | L |
| 21/08 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
59-92 | L |
| 08/08 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
51-83 | L |
| 29/06 | Blades Kenya Premier League |
62-68 | L |