Basketball · Senegal Division 1 · 28/06, 22:30
AS Douanes vs Guediawaye BA
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AS Douanes 1579 · Guediawaye BA 1538
| AS Douanes | Guediawaye BA | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
141.3 points · Bet365 line 136.5 · +4.8
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Model analysis
Estimated points141.3AS Douanes 73.6 · Guediawaye BA 67.7
Match keys
- Estimate (141.3) far from line (136.5): possible value on Over 136.5.
- AS Douanes is a clear favourite (68% market).
- H2H favours AS Douanes: 5-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| AS Douanes | Guediawaye BA | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 72.2 / 62 | 65.5 / 61.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.6 / 62 | 68.2 / 67.4 |
| Est. result | 74 | 68 |
Est. total141.3
Line O/U136.5
Diff.4.8
Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Douanes 5–1–0 Guediawaye BA
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 Senegal Division 1 | Guediawaye BA | 71-71 | AS Douanes |
| 08/03/25 Senegal Division 1 | AS Douanes | 76-60 | Guediawaye BA |
| 18/01/25 Senegal Division 1 | Guediawaye BA | 55-64 | AS Douanes |
| 10/08/24 Senegal Cup | Guediawaye BA | 56-78 | AS Douanes |
| 06/04/24 Senegal Division 1 | Guediawaye BA | 61-68 | AS Douanes |
| 11/02/24 Senegal Division 1 | AS Douanes | 70-63 | Guediawaye BA |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AS Douanes
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Guediawaye BA Senegal Division 1 |
71-71 | D |
| 07/06 | Bopp Senegal Division 1 |
70-58 | W |
| 04/06 | Bopp Senegal Division 1 |
77-40 | W |
| 21/05 | UCST PAD Senegal Cup |
74-61 | W |
| 17/05 | US Ouakam Senegal Division 1 |
86-80 | W |
| 08/05 | Mermoz Senegal Division 1 |
68-54 | W |
| 03/05 | Universite Gaston Berger Senegal Division 1 |
69-68 | W |
| 26/04 | Jeanne d'Arc Senegal Division 1 |
76-74 | W |
| 19/04 | Abaz Senegal Division 1 |
67-45 | W |
| 10/04 | Jeanne d'Arc Senegal Cup |
64-69 | L |
Guediawaye BA
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | AS Douanes Senegal Division 1 |
71-71 | D |
| 07/06 | Universite Gaston Berger Senegal Division 1 |
81-61 | W |
| 21/05 | ASFA Senegal Cup |
69-75 | L |
| 17/05 | Tivaouane Senegal Division 1 |
78-67 | W |
| 13/05 | Ville De Dakar Senegal Division 1 |
42-63 | L |
| 09/05 | Dakar Universite Club Senegal Division 1 |
55-52 | W |
| 03/05 | Louga Senegal Division 1 |
71-51 | W |
| 17/04 | Rs Yoff Senegal Division 1 |
60-53 | W |
| 10/04 | UCST PAD Senegal Cup |
61-63 | L |
| 02/04 | UCST PAD Senegal Division 1 |
67-57 | W |