Basketball · Chile Liga Nacional Women · 28/06, 01:00
Colegio Los Leones (W) vs Puente Alto (W)
83%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colegio Los Leones (W) 1599 · Puente Alto (W) 1543
| Colegio Los Leones (W) | Puente Alto (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
148 points · Bet365 line 139.5 · +8.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Model analysis
Estimated points148Colegio Los Leones (W) 80.1 · Puente Alto (W) 67.9
Match keys
- Estimate (148) far from line (139.5): possible value on Over 139.5.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colegio Los Leones (W) (rating 1599 vs 1543).
- Colegio Los Leones (W) is a clear favourite (83% market).
- H2H favours Colegio Los Leones (W): 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Colegio Los Leones (W) | Puente Alto (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87 / 54.6 | 77.2 / 69.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.2 / 58.4 | 74.6 / 74.6 |
| Est. result | 80 | 68 |
Est. total148
Line O/U139.5
Diff.8.5
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colegio Los Leones (W) 4–0–2 Puente Alto (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Colegio Los Leones (W) | 81-61 | Puente Alto (W) |
| 30/05/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Puente Alto (W) | 81-85 | Colegio Los Leones (W) |
| 02/05/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Colegio Los Leones (W) | 91-70 | Puente Alto (W) |
| 23/11/25 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Puente Alto (W) | 81-75 | Colegio Los Leones (W) |
| 22/11/25 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Colegio Los Leones (W) | 69-71 | Puente Alto (W) |
| 20/11/25 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Puente Alto (W) | 66-71 | Colegio Los Leones (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colegio Los Leones (W)
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Puente Alto (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
81-61 | W |
| 13/06 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
113-37 | W |
| 08/06 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
91-35 | W |
| 01/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
61-78 | L |
| 30/05 | Puente Alto (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
85-81 | W |
| 25/05 | Azul y Rojo (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
89-46 | W |
| 24/05 | Sergio Ceppi (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
70-38 | W |
| 22/05 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
91-39 | W |
| 18/05 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
97-44 | W |
| 16/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
92-87 | W |
Puente Alto (W)
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
61-81 | L |
| 25/06 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
73-63 | W |
| 13/06 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
89-93 | L |
| 06/06 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
82-71 | W |
| 01/06 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
68-65 | W |
| 30/05 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
81-85 | L |
| 25/05 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
80-47 | W |
| 18/05 | Azul y Rojo (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
85-75 | W |
| 16/05 | Sergio Ceppi (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
91-41 | W |
| 10/05 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
62-78 | L |