Basketball · Mali Premiere Division · 27/06, 16:00
USFAS vs Djoliba AC
67%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · USFAS 1486 · Djoliba AC 1539
| USFAS | Djoliba AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
Estimated total (ours)
142.6 points · Bet365 line 133.5 · +9.1
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Model analysis
Estimated points142.6USFAS 67.6 · Djoliba AC 75.1
Match keys
- Estimate (142.6) far from line (133.5): possible value on Over 133.5.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djoliba AC (rating 1486 vs 1539).
- Djoliba AC is a clear favourite (67% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| USFAS | Djoliba AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 61.2 / 65.8 | 72.4 / 65.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 56.2 / 67 | 69.8 / 61.2 |
| Est. result | 68 | 75 |
Est. total142.6
Line O/U133.5
Diff.9.1
Head-to-head (H2H) · USFAS 2–0–2 Djoliba AC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Mali Premiere Division | Djoliba AC | 88-51 | USFAS |
| 22/04/26 Mali Premiere Division | USFAS | 61-82 | Djoliba AC |
| 08/04/23 Mali Premiere Division | Djoliba AC | 66-80 | USFAS |
| 10/05/19 Mali Premiere Division | USFAS | 76-65 | Djoliba AC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
USFAS
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Centre Mamoutou Kane Mali Premiere Division |
50-65 | L |
| 24/06 | Stade Mali Premiere Division |
62-75 | L |
| 16/06 | AS Real Bamako Mali Premiere Division |
51-41 | W |
| 11/06 | Attar Mali Premiere Division |
67-66 | W |
| 06/06 | Djoliba AC Mali Premiere Division |
51-88 | L |
| 04/06 | Stade Mali Premiere Division |
86-61 | W |
| 25/05 | Centre Mamoutou Kane Mali Premiere Division |
65-80 | L |
| 21/05 | Koukia BC Mali Premiere Division |
50-73 | L |
| 16/05 | CRBT Mali Premiere Division |
77-66 | W |
| 10/05 | AS Real Bamako Mali Premiere Division |
53-43 | W |
Djoliba AC
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Stade Mali Premiere Division |
49-70 | L |
| 24/06 | Centre Mamoutou Kane Mali Premiere Division |
60-59 | W |
| 16/06 | CRBT Mali Premiere Division |
72-62 | W |
| 10/06 | Koukia BC Mali Premiere Division |
80-64 | W |
| 06/06 | USFAS Mali Premiere Division |
88-51 | W |
| 04/06 | AS Real Bamako Mali Premiere Division |
70-45 | W |
| 24/05 | Stade Mali Premiere Division |
72-75 | L |
| 20/05 | Centre Mamoutou Kane Mali Premiere Division |
69-79 | L |
| 16/05 | Attar Mali Premiere Division |
109-69 | W |
| 10/05 | CRBT Mali Premiere Division |
55-81 | L |