🏀 Basketball · Chile Liga Nacional Women · 26/06, 06:00
Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Sportiva Italiana (W)
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1549 · Sportiva Italiana (W) 1595
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | Sportiva Italiana (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
144.8 points · Bet365 line 129.5 · +15.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Estimated points144.8Universidad de Concepcion (W) 72 · Sportiva Italiana (W) 72.7
🔑 Match keys
- Estimate (144.8) far from line (129.5): possible value on Over 129.5.
- H2H favours Sportiva Italiana (W): 5-1.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | Sportiva Italiana (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76 / 64.2 | 73.8 / 59.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 72.6 / 62.2 | 71.8 / 57.8 |
| Est. result | 72 | 73 |
Est. total144.8
Line O/U129.5
💎 Diff.15.3
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1–0–5 Sportiva Italiana (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 85-71 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 20/06/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 63-55 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 24/05/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 66-71 | Sportiva Italiana (W) |
| 26/04/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 66-68 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 07/12/25 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 72-56 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 24/05/25 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 63-80 | Sportiva Italiana (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
71-85 | L |
| 20/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
55-63 | L |
| 13/06 | Azul y Rojo (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
85-61 | W |
| 07/06 | Azul y Rojo (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
84-60 | W |
| 31/05 | Sergio Ceppi (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
68-42 | W |
| 31/05 | Azul y Rojo (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
70-64 | W |
| 24/05 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
66-71 | L |
| 18/05 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
76-59 | W |
| 16/05 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
87-92 | L |
| 09/05 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
98-45 | W |
Sportiva Italiana (W)
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
85-71 | W |
| 20/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
63-55 | W |
| 13/06 | Sergio Ceppi (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
63-59 | W |
| 06/06 | Sergio Ceppi (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
70-43 | W |
| 01/06 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
78-61 | W |
| 30/05 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
60-77 | L |
| 24/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
71-66 | W |
| 23/05 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
90-45 | W |
| 17/05 | Sergio Ceppi (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
70-45 | W |
| 16/05 | Azul y Rojo (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
88-77 | W |