🏀 Basketball · New Zealand NBL · 26/06, 09:30
Wellington Saints vs Nelson Giants
76%1
🧠 Model analysis
Estimated points177.9Wellington Saints 94 · Nelson Giants 83.9
🔑 Match keys
- Estimate (177.9) far from line (182): possible value on Under 182.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wellington Saints (rating 1570 vs 1459).
- Wellington Saints is a clear favourite (76% market).
- H2H favours Wellington Saints: 4-2.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Wellington Saints | Nelson Giants | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 97.5 / 85 | 83.9 / 89.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 95.4 / 83.2 | 80.6 / 84.2 |
| Est. result | 94 | 84 |
Est. total177.9
Line O/U182
💎 Diff.4.1
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Wellington Saints 4–0–2 Nelson Giants
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 New Zealand NBL | Nelson Giants | 97-95 | Wellington Saints |
| 21/04/25 New Zealand NBL | Wellington Saints | 105-65 | Nelson Giants |
| 20/03/25 New Zealand NBL | Nelson Giants | 86-94 | Wellington Saints |
| 12/05/24 New Zealand NBL | Wellington Saints | 96-105 | Nelson Giants |
| 06/04/24 New Zealand NBL | Nelson Giants | 75-84 | Wellington Saints |
| 02/06/23 New Zealand NBL | Nelson Giants | 112-120 | Wellington Saints |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Wellington Saints
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL |
81-67 | W |
| 14/06 | Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL |
88-96 | L |
| 07/06 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
96-90 | W |
| 01/06 | Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL |
105-84 | W |
| 25/05 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL |
107-79 | W |
| 21/05 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
90-104 | L |
| 16/05 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
81-71 | W |
| 10/05 | Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL |
126-88 | W |
| 30/04 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
111-89 | W |
| 27/04 | Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL |
90-82 | W |
Nelson Giants
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL |
92-79 | W |
| 13/06 | Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL |
85-95 | L |
| 06/06 | Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL |
58-69 | L |
| 04/06 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL |
94-85 | W |
| 30/05 | Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL |
74-93 | L |
| 24/05 | Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL |
63-88 | L |
| 17/05 | Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL |
96-102 | L |
| 10/05 | Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL |
97-99 | L |
| 08/05 | Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL |
73-97 | L |
| 02/05 | Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL |
107-91 | W |