Basketball · Australia NBL1 East · 27/06, 10:30
Hills Hornets vs Illawarra Hawks NBL1
81%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hills Hornets 1428 · Illawarra Hawks NBL1 1596
| Hills Hornets | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
169.8 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · -2.7
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Model analysis
Estimated points169.8Hills Hornets 78.4 · Illawarra Hawks NBL1 91.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Illawarra Hawks NBL1 (rating 1428 vs 1596).
- Illawarra Hawks NBL1 is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Hills Hornets: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Hills Hornets | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 74 / 84.2 | 96.9 / 83.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.8 / 75.6 | 95.2 / 84.6 |
| Est. result | 78 | 91 |
Est. total169.8
Line O/U172.5
Diff.2.7
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hills Hornets 4–0–2 Illawarra Hawks NBL1
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/25 Australia NBL1 East | Hills Hornets | 69-94 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 |
| 12/07/24 Australia NBL1 East | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | 89-95 | Hills Hornets |
| 04/05/24 Australia NBL1 East | Hills Hornets | 92-69 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 |
| 06/05/23 Australia NBL1 East | Hills Hornets | 88-87 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 |
| 25/06/22 Australia NBL1 East | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 | 75-62 | Hills Hornets |
| 01/05/22 Australia NBL1 East | Hills Hornets | 97-92 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hills Hornets
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
73-80 | L |
| 20/06 | Hornsby Spiders Australia NBL1 East |
84-66 | W |
| 14/06 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
75-84 | L |
| 31/05 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
82-74 | W |
| 30/05 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East |
60-74 | L |
| 23/05 | Maitland Mustangs Australia NBL1 East |
84-102 | L |
| 16/05 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
69-88 | L |
| 10/05 | Canberra Gunners Australia NBL1 East |
77-103 | L |
| 09/05 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
74-79 | L |
| 02/05 | Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East |
62-92 | L |
Illawarra Hawks NBL1
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
92-77 | W |
| 20/06 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East |
77-82 | L |
| 13/06 | Canberra Gunners Australia NBL1 East |
102-93 | W |
| 30/05 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
111-102 | W |
| 23/05 | Newcastle Falcons Australia NBL1 East |
94-69 | W |
| 16/05 | Penrith Panthers Australia NBL1 East |
94-84 | W |
| 09/05 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
97-76 | W |
| 02/05 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
107-95 | W |
| 26/04 | Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East |
111-82 | W |
| 25/04 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
84-77 | W |