Basketball · Australia NBL1 East · 28/06, 07:00
Newcastle Falcons vs Penrith Panthers
78%1
Model analysis
PickOver 156.5 points · 65%
Estimated points162.1Newcastle Falcons 83.8 · Penrith Panthers 78.3
Match keys
- Estimate (162.1) far from line (156.5): possible value on Over 156.5.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Newcastle Falcons (rating 1511 vs 1383).
- Newcastle Falcons is a clear favourite (78% market).
- H2H favours Newcastle Falcons: 3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Newcastle Falcons | Penrith Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.3 / 83 | 74.8 / 85.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85 / 84.8 | 78.8 / 91 |
| Est. result | 84 | 78 |
Est. total162.1
Line O/U156.5
Diff.5.6
Over / Under65% / 35%
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newcastle Falcons 3–0–0 Penrith Panthers
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/25 Australia NBL1 East | Penrith Panthers | 63-98 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 27/04/24 Australia NBL1 East | Penrith Panthers | 65-80 | Newcastle Falcons |
| 08/07/23 Australia NBL1 East | Penrith Panthers | 69-96 | Newcastle Falcons |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newcastle Falcons
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Australia NBL1 East |
92-71 | W |
| 20/06 | Albury Wodonga Bandits Australia NBL1 East |
93-92 | W |
| 14/06 | Hornsby Spiders Australia NBL1 East |
104-89 | W |
| 13/06 | Bankstown Bruins Australia NBL1 East |
78-85 | L |
| 30/05 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
58-87 | L |
| 23/05 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 Australia NBL1 East |
69-94 | L |
| 16/05 | Maitland Mustangs Australia NBL1 East |
81-73 | W |
| 09/05 | Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East |
80-95 | L |
| 03/05 | Inner West Bulls Australia NBL1 East |
81-86 | L |
| 02/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
77-58 | W |
Penrith Panthers
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
71-84 | L |
| 20/06 | Maitland Mustangs Australia NBL1 East |
81-95 | L |
| 13/06 | Norths Bears Australia NBL1 East |
79-85 | L |
| 31/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia NBL1 East |
80-102 | L |
| 24/05 | Central Coast Crusaders Australia NBL1 East |
83-89 | L |
| 17/05 | BA Coe Australia NBL1 East |
72-91 | L |
| 16/05 | Illawarra Hawks NBL1 Australia NBL1 East |
84-94 | L |
| 09/05 | Hornsby Spiders Australia NBL1 East |
61-76 | L |
| 03/05 | Sydney Comets Australia NBL1 East |
68-67 | W |
| 25/04 | Canberra Gunners Australia NBL1 East |
69-72 | L |