Basketball · Australia NBL1 South Women · 28/06, 04:30
Melbourne Tigers (W) vs Dandenong Rangers (W)
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melbourne Tigers (W) 1525 · Dandenong Rangers (W) 1521
| Melbourne Tigers (W) | Dandenong Rangers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
160 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · -1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Model analysis
Estimated points160Melbourne Tigers (W) 79.8 · Dandenong Rangers (W) 80.2
Match keys
- Melbourne Tigers (W) is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours Melbourne Tigers (W): 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Melbourne Tigers (W) | Dandenong Rangers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.1 / 75.5 | 85.9 / 80 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79 / 81.6 | 83.2 / 74 |
| Est. result | 80 | 80 |
Est. total160
Line O/U161.5
Diff.1.5
Head-to-head (H2H) · Melbourne Tigers (W) 4–0–2 Dandenong Rangers (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/25 Australia NBL1 South Women | Melbourne Tigers (W) | 82-80 | Dandenong Rangers (W) |
| 04/04/24 Australia NBL1 South Women | Melbourne Tigers (W) | 103-75 | Dandenong Rangers (W) |
| 22/04/23 Australia NBL1 South Women | Dandenong Rangers (W) | 80-72 | Melbourne Tigers (W) |
| 31/07/22 Australia NBL1 South Women | Melbourne Tigers (W) | 57-76 | Dandenong Rangers (W) |
| 16/05/21 Australia NBL1 South Women | Melbourne Tigers (W) | 77-70 | Dandenong Rangers (W) |
| 27/04/19 Australia NBL1 Women | Dandenong Rangers (W) | 42-56 | Melbourne Tigers (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melbourne Tigers (W)
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
68-97 | L |
| 20/06 | Bendigo Braves (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
81-78 | W |
| 13/06 | Eltham Wildcats (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
96-84 | W |
| 05/06 | Casey Cavaliers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
70-83 | L |
| 31/05 | Nunawading Spectres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
80-66 | W |
| 30/05 | Keilor Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
80-82 | L |
| 23/05 | Kilsyth Cobras (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
78-68 | W |
| 16/05 | Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
86-65 | W |
| 10/05 | Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
84-61 | W |
| 09/05 | Geelong United (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
68-71 | L |
Dandenong Rangers (W)
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
90-76 | W |
| 20/06 | Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
81-63 | W |
| 13/06 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
99-83 | W |
| 31/05 | Geelong United (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
82-85 | L |
| 30/05 | Nunawading Spectres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
64-63 | W |
| 24/05 | Keilor Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
95-90 | W |
| 23/05 | Knox Raiders (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
73-91 | L |
| 16/05 | Northern Force (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
83-98 | L |
| 15/05 | Hobart Chargers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
95-100 | L |
| 09/05 | Kilsyth Cobras (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
97-51 | W |