Prediction: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 68% to Jannik Sinner; the market gives 82% to Jannik Sinner (odds 1.03).
82%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jannik Sinner 1629 · Jenson Brooksby 1498
| Jannik Sinner | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jannik Sinner (rating 1629 vs 1498).
- Jannik Sinner dominates on serve: 9 aces and 47.2% break avg.
- Jannik Sinner is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jannik Sinner 1–0 Jenson Brooksby (1).
Statistics
| Jannik Sinner | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.3-0.6 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.2-11 | 11.5-12 |
| Aces | 9 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 78.6% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 30.5 · -6.7
Over 30.5: 12% · 1.83
Under 30.5: 88% · 1.83
H2H · Jannik Sinner 1 – 0 Jenson Brooksby (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jannik Sinner 1–0 Jenson Brooksby
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/21 ATP Washington | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jannik Sinner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Nuno Borges Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-21 | W |
| 28/05 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 26/05 | Clement Tabur French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 17/05 | Casper Ruud ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/05 | Andrey Rublev ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/05 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Jenson Brooksby
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Ignacio Buse Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Vukic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Martin Damm ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Mariano Navone French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Casper Ruud ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Alex Molcan Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby?
Our model gives 82% to Jannik Sinner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.