Tennis · W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 02/07, 12:00
Prediction: Nuria Parrizas-Diaz vs Julia Riera
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Julia Riera; the market gives 67% to Julia Riera (odds 1.40).
67%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 1422 · Julia Riera 1544
| Nuria Parrizas-Diaz | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Riera (rating 1422 vs 1544).
- Julia Riera dominates on serve: 12.4 aces and 41% break avg.
- Julia Riera is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 1–0 Julia Riera (1).
- Note: Julia Riera makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Nuria Parrizas-Diaz | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12.4 | 12.6-11.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 12.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 1 – 0 Julia Riera (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 1–0 Julia Riera
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/24 WTA Bastad | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuria Parrizas-Diaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Francesca Parcelli W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Gina Feistel W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Gina Feistel W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Angela Fita Boluda W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 21/04 | Kayla Day W100 Charlottesville |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/03 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/03 | Lucie Havlickova W75 Murska Sobota |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/03 | Linda Klimovicova W75 Maribor |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/02 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Julia Riera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Daniella Britton Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Pauline Dore W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Mathilde Lollia W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/05 | Alina Korneeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Robin Montgomery French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Laura Samsonova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/05 | Kristina Liutova W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuria Parrizas-Diaz vs Julia Riera?
Our model gives 67% to Julia Riera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.