Tennis · W35 Amstelveen · 02/07, 12:30
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Nellie Taraba Wallberg
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Nellie Taraba Wallberg; the market gives 51% to Nellie Taraba Wallberg (odds 1.91).
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1521 · Nellie Taraba Wallberg 1545
| Lia Karatancheva | Nellie Taraba Wallberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Nellie Taraba Wallberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.3 | 9.3-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 53.8% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Joy De Zeeuw W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Lucie Urbanova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Gabriela Gregorczyk W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Cagla Buyukakcay W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Valeria Garnevska W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Julia Riera W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/04 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Nellie Taraba Wallberg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Martina Colmegna W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Seda Baslilar W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Marie Weckerle W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/03 | Lisa Zaar W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/03 | Giorgia Pedone W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/03 | Margaux Maquet W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 18/03 | Elena Pridankina W35 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Nina Vargova W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 04/03 | Noma Noha Akugue W50 Helsinki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Nellie Taraba Wallberg?
Our model gives 51% to Nellie Taraba Wallberg, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.