Tennis · M15 Monastir · 02/07, 10:30
Prediction: Andrea Paolini vs Alexander Frusina
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Alexander Frusina; the market gives 64% to Alexander Frusina (odds 1.30).
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Paolini 1513 · Alexander Frusina 1540
| Andrea Paolini | Alexander Frusina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Note: Alexander Frusina makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Paolini | Alexander Frusina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.8 | 10.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Photos Photiades M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Gabriel Sardo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/05 | Lilian Marmousez Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Cezar Cretu M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Alexander Orlov M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/02 | Sena Okabe M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 25/11 | Nicolas Philibert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 13/11 | Matthew William Donald M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Alexander Frusina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Ali Habib M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Milledge Cossu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Gabi Adrian Boitan ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Mathis Bondaz ITF M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Matthew Rankin ITF M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Paolini vs Alexander Frusina?
Our model gives 64% to Alexander Frusina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.