Tennis · M25 Figueira da Foz · 02/07, 13:30
Prediction: Tiago Pereira vs Patrick Schoen
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Patrick Schoen; the market gives 60% to Patrick Schoen (odds 1.57).
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Pereira 1523 · Patrick Schoen 1597
| Tiago Pereira | Patrick Schoen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Schoen (rating 1523 vs 1597).
- Patrick Schoen is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tiago Pereira | Patrick Schoen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.8 | 11.5-6.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 77.6% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Filippo Moroni M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Vasco L Prata M25 Porto |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Noa Vukadin M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Alan Wazny M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 28/05 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Petar Jovanovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Patrick Schoen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Rigele Te M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Porto |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Vasco L Prata M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/05 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 28/05 | Cagan Efe Tufekci M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Pereira vs Patrick Schoen?
Our model gives 60% to Patrick Schoen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.