Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 02/07, 09:30

Prediction: Ty Host vs Henry Jefferson

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Henry Jefferson; the market gives 63% to Henry Jefferson (odds 1.33).

63%2
37% 63%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ty Host 1489 · Henry Jefferson 1519
Ty HostHenry Jefferson
Our model46%54%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).

Match keys

  • Henry Jefferson dominates on serve: 7 aces and 49.4% break avg.
  • Note: Henry Jefferson makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Ty HostHenry Jefferson
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.41.1-1.1
Games (G-P)10.7-11.111.3-10.7
Aces2.87
Double faults34.4
1st serve %66.8%73.5%
Break %48.9%49.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ty Host

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Romain Faucon
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 16-12 W
29/06 Svarmanyu Singh
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/05 Alec Beckley
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
22/05 Robert Strombachs
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
21/05 Stefan Vujic
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-1 18-15 W
19/05 Benjamin O'Connell
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-0 10-4 W
13/05 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
06/05 Alec Beckley
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
27/04 Bora Sengul
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
1-2 8-11 L
21/04 Alexey Aleshchev
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
0-2 4-11 L

Henry Jefferson

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Zsombor Velcz
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
29/06 Jordan Hasson
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 11-8 W
13/06 Alastair Gray
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
27/05 Timofei Derepasko
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
09/12 Robert Guna
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-1 10-12 L
11/09 Luis Felipe Miguel
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
10/09 Agassi Rusher
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
09/09 Oren Ezerzer
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
10/08 Nikita Filin
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
09/08 JanMagnus Johnson
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
1-2 17-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ty Host vs Henry Jefferson?

Our model gives 63% to Henry Jefferson, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.