Tennis · M15 Hillcrest · 02/07, 09:30
Prediction: Luc Koenig vs Kris Van Wyk
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Luc Koenig; the market gives 66% to Luc Koenig (odds 1.36).
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luc Koenig 1523 · Kris Van Wyk 1426
| Luc Koenig | Kris Van Wyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luc Koenig (rating 1523 vs 1426).
- Luc Koenig dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 46% break avg.
- Luc Koenig is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Luc Koenig 2–1 Kris Van Wyk (3).
- Note: Luc Koenig makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Luc Koenig | Kris Van Wyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.7 | 7.8-12 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 46% | 26% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Luc Koenig 2 – 1 Kris Van Wyk (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luc Koenig 2–1 Kris Van Wyk
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Challenger Centurion | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06/24 ITF M25 Hillcrest | 1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/06/24 M15 Hillcrest | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luc Koenig
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Semen Pankin Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 28/05 | Philip Henning Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Dominik Palan Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Kris Van Wyk Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Louis Bowden UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 05/09 | Thomas Cardona Herrera UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Santiago Serrano Huidobro UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Arman Zamani UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Ilan Klein UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Kris Van Wyk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Gray Voelzke M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 01/06 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Simphiwe Ngwenya Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Luc Koenig Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Amr Asrawy M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Karan Singh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Grigory Shebekin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/04 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/03 | Sydney Zick M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/03 | Pieter De Lange M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luc Koenig vs Kris Van Wyk?
Our model gives 66% to Luc Koenig, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.