Tennis · M15 Store · 02/07, 10:00
Prediction: Stefano D'Agostino vs Maximilian Figl
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Stefano D'Agostino; the market gives 71% to Stefano D'Agostino (odds 1.22).
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefano D'Agostino 1527 · Maximilian Figl 1433
| Stefano D'Agostino | Maximilian Figl | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefano D'Agostino (rating 1527 vs 1433).
- Stefano D'Agostino is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Stefano D'Agostino makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Stefano D'Agostino | Maximilian Figl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10 | 9.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 21.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefano D'Agostino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Piotr Galus M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Store |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Federico Iannaccone M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Florent Bax M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Sean Cuenin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 9-5 | W |
Maximilian Figl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Leyton Rivera M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Nik Mikovic M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Pablo Aunion M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Calvin Mueller M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Pranav Karthik M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/04 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Bader Idrees M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefano D'Agostino vs Maximilian Figl?
Our model gives 71% to Stefano D'Agostino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.