Prediction: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Marton Fucsovics
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 69% to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina; the market gives 71% to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (odds 1.30).
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1603 · Marton Fucsovics 1467
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Marton Fucsovics | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (rating 1603 vs 1467).
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Marton Fucsovics makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Marton Fucsovics | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 0.9-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-10.3 | 12.2-15.1 |
| Aces | 5 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 23% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -14.3
Over 39.5: 1% · 1.83
Under 39.5: 99% · 1.83
H2H · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1 – 1 Marton Fucsovics (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1–1 Marton Fucsovics
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/22 US Open | 3-2 | 28-25 | W |
| 04/03/21 ATP Rotterdam | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Fabian Marozsan Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Corentin Moutet ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Cameron Norrie ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Marton Fucsovics
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Learner Tien Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 16/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 25/05 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 15-25 | L |
| 07/05 | Dino Prizmic ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/04 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/03 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Marton Fucsovics?
Our model gives 71% to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.