Tennis · Wimbledon · 02/07, 15:30
Prediction: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Flavio Cobolli; the market gives 66% to Flavio Cobolli (odds 1.33).
66%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Duckworth 1490 · Flavio Cobolli 1547
| James Duckworth | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flavio Cobolli (rating 1490 vs 1547).
Statistics
| James Duckworth | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.6 | 2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-15.2 | 16.4-15.5 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 32.1% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.3 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -11.2
Over 38.5: 2% · 1.83
Under 38.5: 98% · 1.83
H2H · James Duckworth 1 – 1 Flavio Cobolli (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · James Duckworth 1–1 Flavio Cobolli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/25 ATP Almaty | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08/24 US Open | 1-3 | 15-22 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Duckworth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Tallon Griekspoor Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 20/06 | Giles Hussey ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Rafael Jodar French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 17-25 | L |
| 19/05 | Laslo Djere ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/05 | Edas Butvilas ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/05 | Miguel Damas ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/04 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Flavio Cobolli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Mariano Navone Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 21-21 | W |
| 15/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexander Zverev French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 19-28 | L |
| 03/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 01/06 | Zachary Svajda French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 30/05 | Learner Tien French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Yibing Wu French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/05 | Andrea Pellegrino French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 19/05 | Ignacio Buse ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli?
Our model gives 66% to Flavio Cobolli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.