Tennis · Challenger Troyes · 03/07, 10:30
Prediction: Lorenzo Giustino vs Igor Marcondes
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Igor Marcondes; the market gives 55% to Igor Marcondes (odds 1.83).
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Giustino 1461 · Igor Marcondes 1533
| Lorenzo Giustino | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Igor Marcondes (rating 1461 vs 1533).
- Lorenzo Giustino dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 50.5% break avg.
- Igor Marcondes is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Lorenzo Giustino makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Giustino | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-13.2 | 14-12.4 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 32.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Giustino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Gauthier Onclin Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/05 | Luca Nardi Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Marko Topo Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/05 | Kyrian Jacquet French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/04 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Barletta · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Igor Marcondes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/03 | Alex Barrena Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 11/03 | Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Challenger Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/03 | Jaime Faria Challenger Santiago · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/03 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Santiago · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/03 | Milledge Cossu Challenger Santiago · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/03 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Brasilia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/03 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Brasilia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/02 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Tigre · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Giustino vs Igor Marcondes?
Our model gives 55% to Igor Marcondes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.