Tennis · Challenger Brasov · 03/07, 09:00
Prediction: Andrej Nedic vs Keegan Smith
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Andrej Nedic; the market gives 65% to Andrej Nedic (odds 1.33).
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrej Nedic 1592 · Keegan Smith 1544
| Andrej Nedic | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrej Nedic (rating 1592 vs 1544).
- Keegan Smith dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 41.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Andrej Nedic | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.1 | 14.8-12.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrej Nedic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 20/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Jakub Vrba M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Keegan Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Moez Echargui Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Alex Bolt Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Finn Bass Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 31/05 | Ben Jones Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrej Nedic vs Keegan Smith?
Our model gives 65% to Andrej Nedic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.