Tennis · M15 Tokyo · 02/07, 03:00
Maximus Jones vs Ryota Tanuma
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Ryota Tanuma; the market gives 55% to Maximus Jones (odds 1.30).
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximus Jones 1473 · Ryota Tanuma 1598
| Maximus Jones | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryota Tanuma (rating 1473 vs 1598).
- Maximus Jones dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 45.6% break avg.
- Ryota Tanuma is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Maximus Jones makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Maximus Jones | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13.1 | 10.5-6.8 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximus Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Mukund Sasikumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Amit Vales Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/05 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Akira Santillan Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/04 | Mark Lajal Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
Ryota Tanuma
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Ren Nakamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Asahi Harazaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |