Tennis · M15 Tokyo · 02/07, 03:00
Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Yusuke Takahashi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 68% to Matthew Dellavedova; the market gives 66% to Matthew Dellavedova (odds 1.44).
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1622 · Yusuke Takahashi 1490
| Matthew Dellavedova | Yusuke Takahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1622 vs 1490).
- Matthew Dellavedova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Yusuke Takahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-6.3 | 11.4-12.5 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Kuan-Yi Lee M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 26/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Joshua Charlton M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Kanan Gasimov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Aoran Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Yusuke Takahashi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 28/05 | Edward Winter Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/05 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/05 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/04 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |