Tennis · M25 Figueira da Foz · 02/07, 12:00
Lui Maxted vs Daniil Ostapenkov
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Daniil Ostapenkov; the market gives 54% to Lui Maxted (odds 1.50).
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lui Maxted 1527 · Daniil Ostapenkov 1575
| Lui Maxted | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniil Ostapenkov (rating 1527 vs 1575).
- Note: Lui Maxted makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Lui Maxted | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10 | 11-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 72% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lui Maxted
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Nikola Djukic Valera M25 Figueira da Foz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/03 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Michalis Sakellaridis Challenger Hersonissos Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/03 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 02/03 | Stefan Dostanic Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 01/03 | James Story Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/02 | Gauthier Onclin M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Daniil Ostapenkov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Rohan Mehra M25 Figueira da Foz |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiago Pereira M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/05 | Yanki Erel M15 Kutaisi |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Robin Catry M15 Kutaisi |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Kutaisi |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Adam Kaczmarek M15 Kutaisi |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/05 | Vadym Ursu M25 Kutaisi |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Kevin Edengren M25 Kutaisi |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |