Tennis · Challenger Milan · 02/07, 10:00
Marco Cecchinato vs Raul Brancaccio
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Marco Cecchinato; the market gives 59% to Marco Cecchinato (odds 1.53).
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Cecchinato 1522 · Raul Brancaccio 1467
| Marco Cecchinato | Raul Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marco Cecchinato (rating 1522 vs 1467).
- Marco Cecchinato is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marco Cecchinato | Raul Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.3 | 11.5-13.4 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 35.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
H2H · Marco Cecchinato 2 – 2 Raul Brancaccio (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Cecchinato 2–2 Raul Brancaccio
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Challenger Ostrava | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/05/25 Challenger Turin | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/07/22 Challenger Verona | 2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/05/21 ATP Parma | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Raul Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Arthur Gea Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Liam Broady Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 18/05 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/05 | Clement Tabur ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Tyler Zink ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |