Tennis · Challenger Quito · 02/07, 17:00
Juan Manuel La Serna vs Ignacio Monzon
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Juan Manuel La Serna; the market gives 65% to Juan Manuel La Serna (odds 1.33).
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel La Serna 1541 · Ignacio Monzon 1491
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Ignacio Monzon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Manuel La Serna (rating 1541 vs 1491).
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel La Serna 2–1 Ignacio Monzon (3).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Ignacio Monzon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.1 | 10.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 61.3% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.4
Over 20.5: 60% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 40% · 1.80
H2H · Juan Manuel La Serna 2 – 1 Ignacio Monzon (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel La Serna 2–1 Ignacio Monzon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 Challenger Asuncion | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/10/25 ITF M15 Santiago | 2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/07/23 Challenger Santa Fe | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel La Serna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Cuiaba |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M25 Cuiaba |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios M25 Cuiaba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ignacio Monzon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Julian Cundom Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Santiago Giamichelle Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Maringa |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Maringa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Nicolas Zanellato Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |