Tennis · Challenger Quito · 01/07, 18:30
Hernan Casanova vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes; the market gives 59% to Hernan Casanova (odds 1.36).
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hernan Casanova 1532 · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1555
| Hernan Casanova | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Statistics
| Hernan Casanova | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.4 | 12.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.9
Over 19.5: 63% · 1.80
Under 19.5: 37% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hernan Casanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Mario Andre Galarraga Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Samuel Heredia Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/05 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/05 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Felipe Rivadeneira Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Zsombor Velcz ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Asahi Harazaki ITF M25 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Keegan Smith ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Raphael Perot ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Alexander Kotzen ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 18/09 | Orel Kimhi ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Timo Legout ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 11/08 | Constantin Frantzen Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |