Tennis · Challenger Quito · 01/07, 17:00
Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Matias Soto
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Juan Sebastian Osorio; the market gives 62% to Matias Soto (odds 1.17).
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Sebastian Osorio 1600 · Matias Soto 1528
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | Matias Soto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Sebastian Osorio (rating 1600 vs 1528).
- Juan Sebastian Osorio is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Juan Sebastian Osorio 0–1 Matias Soto (1).
- Note: Matias Soto makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | Matias Soto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-10.3 | 11.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.4
Over 19.5: 72% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 28% · 1.83
H2H · Juan Sebastian Osorio 0 – 1 Matias Soto (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Sebastian Osorio 0–1 Matias Soto
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/24 ITF M25 Arequipa | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Sebastian Osorio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Peter Bertran Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Alejandro Hayen Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Felipe Vazquez M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/05 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios M15 Quito |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/05 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Quito |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/05 | Ryan Dickerson M15 Quito |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/04 | Frazier Rengifo M15 Quito |
1-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 28/04 | Nicolas Hollender M15 Quito |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Matias Soto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Mwendwa Mbithi Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 26/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/04 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/04 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/04 | Mariano Kestelboim Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |