Tennis · Challenger Brasov · 01/07, 11:00
Keegan Smith vs Henri Squire
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Keegan Smith; the market gives 57% to Henri Squire (odds 1.44).
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keegan Smith 1516 · Henri Squire 1504
| Keegan Smith | Henri Squire | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Keegan Smith dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 41.7% break avg.
- Note: Henri Squire makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Keegan Smith | Henri Squire | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.7-13.5 | 10.8-11.1 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 7.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keegan Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Moez Echargui Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Alex Bolt Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Finn Bass Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 31/05 | Ben Jones Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Manish Sureshkumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Henri Squire
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Marc Polmans Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Luca Castagnola Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/05 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |