Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 02/07, 12:00
Mariam Bolkvadze vs Ashlyn Krueger
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Ashlyn Krueger; the market gives 72% to Ashlyn Krueger (odds 1.14).
72%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariam Bolkvadze 1558 · Ashlyn Krueger 1621
| Mariam Bolkvadze | Ashlyn Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashlyn Krueger (rating 1558 vs 1621).
- Note: Mariam Bolkvadze makes many double faults (9.1/match).
- Note: Ashlyn Krueger makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Mariam Bolkvadze | Ashlyn Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (5) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.5 | 13.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 9.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.9
Over 19.5: 75% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 25% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariam Bolkvadze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Hayu Kinoshita Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Julia Grabher Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Guimaraes |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Nao Hibino WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Esther Adeshina W35 Nottingham |
1-1 | 6-2 | W |
| 02/05 | Emily Appleton W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/04 | Marie Weckerle W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Ashlyn Krueger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Donna Vekic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Iatcenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Mai Hontama Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Gabriela Knutson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |