Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 02/07, 12:00
Elise Mertens vs Maria Timofeeva
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Maria Timofeeva; the market gives 63% to Elise Mertens (odds 1.17).
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elise Mertens 1523 · Maria Timofeeva 1589
| Elise Mertens | Maria Timofeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Timofeeva (rating 1523 vs 1589).
- Maria Timofeeva is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Elise Mertens makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Elise Mertens | Maria Timofeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-8.9 | 12-6.8 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.2
Over 19.5: 58% · 1.80
Under 19.5: 42% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elise Mertens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Laura Siegemund Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Tatjana Maria French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Maria Timofeeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Whitney Osuigwe Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Lea Boskovic WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Erika Andreeva WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |